“When we talk about risk in real estate investment, we almost always think of the same: delays in work, budget overruns, price fluctuations in resale.
We rarely think about catastrophe. Collapse. In buried houses.
But that is exactly what is happening. A few meters from where I live.
Climate risk maps have existed for years. Fires. Rise in the average sea level. Municipality-wide reporting with adaptation plans. They seemed like scenarios and answers about the distant future. They are no longer so.
The question that arises is simple:
Who is prepared?
The populations? The investors? The municipalities? The insurance companies?
I suspect that no one is particularly well prepared.
It is still too early to draw definitive conclusions. But it is not too early to change the way we assess risk. Extreme events are no longer remote hypotheses. These are real variables that need to enter our accounts and decisions.
The question is no longer whether they will happen. It is where and when.”
João Grilo via LinkedIn
